SF at AZ / Chase Field

Merrill Kelly

6.0 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 4 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-05-20

Merrill Kelly

AZ vs SF / 6.0 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 4 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 61

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 83 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 83

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.3

Called Strike-0.35 / 3.12

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

91.8

Ball1.55 / 2.78

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Cutter

90.6

In Play-0.02 / 2.81

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.4

Ball-1.49 / 2.82

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Sinker

91.5

Ball-0.52 / 3.48

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-0

4-Seam

90.6

Called Strike-0.75 / 3.00

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Changeup

87.5

In Play0.03 / 1.40

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

92.7

In Play-0.37 / 1.70

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

82.4

Foul0.52 / 1.42

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

92.1

In Play0.24 / 2.95

#11 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.7

Called Strike0.68 / 2.70

#12 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Changeup

87.9

Whiff0.46 / 1.44

#13 / Inn 2 / 0-2

4-Seam

93.3

Foul0.03 / 3.08

#14 / Inn 2 / 0-2

Slider

87.2

Ball1.10 / 1.14

#15 / Inn 2 / 1-2

Changeup

89.4

Whiff-1.03 / 1.78

#16 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Cutter

92.2

Foul-0.39 / 2.77

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Slider

86.4

In Play0.76 / 1.93

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Changeup

87.9

Ball-1.34 / 2.11

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	90.3	-0.35 / 3.12
2	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	91.8	1.55 / 2.78
3	1	1-1	Cutter	In Play	90.6	-0.02 / 2.81
4	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	90.4	-1.49 / 2.82
5	1	1-0	Sinker	Ball	91.5	-0.52 / 3.48
6	1	2-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	90.6	-0.75 / 3.00
7	1	2-1	Changeup	In Play	87.5	0.03 / 1.40
8	1	0-0	Sinker	In Play	92.7	-0.37 / 1.70
9	1	0-0	Curveball	Foul	82.4	0.52 / 1.42
10	1	0-1	4-Seam	In Play	92.1	0.24 / 2.95
11	2	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	90.7	0.68 / 2.70
12	2	0-1	Changeup	Whiff	87.9	0.46 / 1.44
13	2	0-2	4-Seam	Foul	93.3	0.03 / 3.08
14	2	0-2	Slider	Ball	87.2	1.10 / 1.14
15	2	1-2	Changeup	Whiff	89.4	-1.03 / 1.78
16	2	0-0	Cutter	Foul	92.2	-0.39 / 2.77
17	2	0-1	Slider	In Play	86.4	0.76 / 1.93
18	2	0-0	Changeup	Ball	87.9	-1.34 / 2.11

Velocity trend

86-97 MPH

90.0

Inn 1

89.7

Inn 2

88.6

Inn 3

89.3

Inn 4

87.7

Inn 5

90.4

Inn 6

Inning timeline

83 pitches

Inn 1

2 strikes0 whiffs4 in play92.7 max

Inn 2

7 strikes2 whiffs3 in play93.8 max

Inn 3

1 strikes0 whiffs4 in play91.7 max

Inn 4

5 strikes2 whiffs5 in play94.0 max

Inn 5

3 strikes0 whiffs4 in play91.9 max

Inn 6

5 strikes4 whiffs2 in play94.2 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

2 ahead5 even3 behind0 2-strike

Inn 2

6 ahead7 even7 behind4 2-strike

Inn 3

3 ahead5 even1 behind2 2-strike

Inn 4

8 ahead10 even3 behind5 2-strike

Inn 5

1 ahead6 even2 behind0 2-strike

Inn 6

3 ahead7 even4 behind5 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-9.6

8 hits allowed.

Free passes

0 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

-0.4

Chase Field at 1.03 run factor.

Opponent quality

SF scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

SF scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Scale adjustment

-6

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

28%

92.3AVG / 94.2 MAX

23 thrown10% whiff

Sinker

92.3AVG / 94.0 MAX

7 thrown0% whiff

Slider

11%

86.4AVG / 88.3 MAX

9 thrown0% whiff

Changeup

24%

88.2AVG / 90.4 MAX

20 thrown27% whiff

Curveball

12%

82.6AVG / 84.2 MAX

10 thrown40% whiff

Cutter

17%

91.8AVG / 93.2 MAX

14 thrown29% whiff