BAL at BOS / Fenway Park

Trevor Rogers

5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-04

Trevor Rogers

BAL vs BOS / 5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 57

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 87 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 87

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.5

Ball-1.19 / 3.51

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

93.9

Whiff-0.71 / 2.72

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

94.7

Whiff-0.46 / 2.26

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.5

Foul-0.60 / 3.50

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Slider

79.2

Ball-2.11 / 1.19

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Cutter

82.8

In Play-0.14 / 2.37

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.9

Foul0.21 / 2.68

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

88.0

Foul-0.81 / 1.98

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

76.9

Foul0.86 / 2.53

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Changeup

87.8

Foul-0.22 / 1.58

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-2

4-Seam

95.2

Whiff0.94 / 2.47

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.8

Called Strike-0.56 / 2.80

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

87.2

Foul-0.04 / 1.59

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

77.4

In Play-0.20 / 1.95

#15 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Changeup

87.3

Ball-0.80 / 0.88

#16 / Inn 2 / 1-0

Changeup

86.0

Called Strike-0.46 / 1.87

#17 / Inn 2 / 1-1

Slider

77.9

Whiff0.51 / 1.92

#18 / Inn 2 / 1-2

Sinker

93.8

Ball-0.73 / 0.65

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	93.5	-1.19 / 3.51
2	1	1-0	4-Seam	Whiff	93.9	-0.71 / 2.72
3	1	1-1	4-Seam	Whiff	94.7	-0.46 / 2.26
4	1	1-2	4-Seam	Foul	94.5	-0.60 / 3.50
5	1	1-2	Slider	Ball	79.2	-2.11 / 1.19
6	1	2-2	Cutter	In Play	82.8	-0.14 / 2.37
7	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	93.9	0.21 / 2.68
8	1	0-1	Changeup	Foul	88.0	-0.81 / 1.98
9	1	0-2	Slider	Foul	76.9	0.86 / 2.53
10	1	0-2	Changeup	Foul	87.8	-0.22 / 1.58
11	1	0-2	4-Seam	Whiff	95.2	0.94 / 2.47
12	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.8	-0.56 / 2.80
13	1	0-1	Changeup	Foul	87.2	-0.04 / 1.59
14	1	0-2	Slider	In Play	77.4	-0.20 / 1.95
15	2	0-0	Changeup	Ball	87.3	-0.80 / 0.88
16	2	1-0	Changeup	Called Strike	86.0	-0.46 / 1.87
17	2	1-1	Slider	Whiff	77.9	0.51 / 1.92
18	2	1-2	Sinker	Ball	93.8	-0.73 / 0.65

Velocity trend

87-97 MPH

88.6

Inn 1

89.0

Inn 2

89.3

Inn 3

91.9

Inn 4

88.0

Inn 5

90.4

Inn 6

Inning timeline

87 pitches

Inn 1

4 strikes3 whiffs2 in play95.2 max

Inn 2

7 strikes2 whiffs2 in play94.8 max

Inn 3

1 strikes0 whiffs3 in play94.2 max

Inn 4

6 strikes3 whiffs2 in play94.9 max

Inn 5

1 strikes0 whiffs4 in play94.3 max

Inn 6

3 strikes1 whiffs5 in play94.1 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

8 ahead5 even1 behind7 2-strike

Inn 2

9 ahead5 even1 behind8 2-strike

Inn 3

0 ahead4 even5 behind1 2-strike

Inn 4

5 ahead6 even5 behind3 2-strike

Inn 5

1 ahead5 even3 behind0 2-strike

Inn 6

16 ahead7 even1 behind12 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+17

5.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+0.9

+2.7 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

-0.2

-0.1 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

-0.6

Fenway Park at 1.05 run factor.

Opponent quality

-0.9

BOS live standings context: 26-35, -6 run differential.

Opponent offense

-0.6

Live offense context: 3.99 R/G, 0.699 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-8

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

43%

93.9AVG / 95.2 MAX

37 thrown33% whiff

Sinker

22%

93.2AVG / 94.6 MAX

19 thrown0% whiff

Slider

14%

77.6AVG / 79.8 MAX

12 thrown13% whiff

Changeup

18%

87.0AVG / 88.0 MAX

16 thrown11% whiff

Cutter

81.7AVG / 82.8 MAX

3 thrown0% whiff