AZ at MIA / loanDepot park

Merrill Kelly

6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 1 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-11

Merrill Kelly

AZ vs MIA / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 1 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 53

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 73 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 73

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.6

Foul-0.19 / 2.43

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

87.2

In Play-0.65 / 2.64

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.7

Called Strike-0.29 / 2.88

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Cutter

91.2

Ball1.34 / 1.88

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

90.7

In Play1.00 / 2.04

#6 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

82.0

Ball0.01 / 0.97

#7 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Changeup

87.5

Ball-1.48 / 2.22

#8 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Sinker

92.4

Ball-1.07 / 2.06

#9 / Inn 1 / 3-0

4-Seam

92.1

Called Strike-0.49 / 1.75

#10 / Inn 1 / 3-1

Changeup

88.3

Foul-0.25 / 2.47

#11 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Changeup

88.2

Ball-1.77 / 2.19

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.8

Whiff-0.37 / 3.37

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

92.5

Ball1.02 / 2.70

#14 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Curveball

83.8

Called Strike-0.50 / 2.41

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Slider

86.8

In Play0.76 / 0.91

#16 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.1

Foul0.49 / 1.88

#17 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

85.6

In Play0.37 / 1.91

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Curveball

81.1

Ball-0.93 / 3.13

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	90.6	-0.19 / 2.43
2	1	0-1	Changeup	In Play	87.2	-0.65 / 2.64
3	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.7	-0.29 / 2.88
4	1	0-1	Cutter	Ball	91.2	1.34 / 1.88
5	1	1-1	4-Seam	In Play	90.7	1.00 / 2.04
6	1	0-0	Curveball	Ball	82.0	0.01 / 0.97
7	1	1-0	Changeup	Ball	87.5	-1.48 / 2.22
8	1	2-0	Sinker	Ball	92.4	-1.07 / 2.06
9	1	3-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.1	-0.49 / 1.75
10	1	3-1	Changeup	Foul	88.3	-0.25 / 2.47
11	1	3-2	Changeup	Ball	88.2	-1.77 / 2.19
12	1	0-0	4-Seam	Whiff	91.8	-0.37 / 3.37
13	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	92.5	1.02 / 2.70
14	1	1-1	Curveball	Called Strike	83.8	-0.50 / 2.41
15	1	1-2	Slider	In Play	86.8	0.76 / 0.91
16	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	91.1	0.49 / 1.88
17	1	0-1	Slider	In Play	85.6	0.37 / 1.91
18	2	0-0	Curveball	Ball	81.1	-0.93 / 3.13

Velocity trend

86-97 MPH

89.0

Inn 1

88.1

Inn 2

88.6

Inn 3

89.2

Inn 4

87.0

Inn 5

88.0

Inn 6

Inning timeline

73 pitches

Inn 1

4 strikes1 whiffs4 in play92.5 max

Inn 2

1 strikes0 whiffs3 in play92.2 max

Inn 3

3 strikes0 whiffs3 in play92.8 max

Inn 4

5 strikes1 whiffs5 in play93.9 max

Inn 5

2 strikes0 whiffs3 in play91.2 max

Inn 6

2 strikes0 whiffs2 in play90.7 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

5 ahead7 even5 behind2 2-strike

Inn 2

1 ahead3 even2 behind0 2-strike

Inn 3

5 ahead5 even0 behind2 2-strike

Inn 4

4 ahead10 even11 behind4 2-strike

Inn 5

3 ahead3 even2 behind2 2-strike

Inn 6

3 ahead4 even0 behind1 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+2.2

1 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

+0.5

loanDepot park at 0.96 run factor.

Opponent quality

-0.2

MIA live standings context: 34-35, -6 run differential.

Opponent offense

-0.1

Live offense context: 4.27 R/G, 0.711 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-7

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

22%

92.0AVG / 93.9 MAX

16 thrown22% whiff

Sinker

14%

91.7AVG / 92.8 MAX

10 thrown0% whiff

Slider

10%

86.4AVG / 87.1 MAX

7 thrown0% whiff

Changeup

22%

88.2AVG / 90.0 MAX

16 thrown0% whiff

Curveball

19%

82.8AVG / 83.9 MAX

14 thrown0% whiff

Cutter

14%

90.7AVG / 91.9 MAX

10 thrown0% whiff