PHI at MIL / American Family Field

Aaron Nola

4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-13

Aaron Nola

PHI vs MIL / 4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 53

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 84 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 84

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.6

Whiff-0.65 / 2.59

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

77.3

In Play-0.59 / 2.09

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.6

Called Strike-0.43 / 2.33

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Sinker

92.1

Ball1.11 / 2.49

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Curveball

77.9

Foul0.44 / 1.68

#6 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Curveball

78.9

Ball1.75 / 0.73

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Sinker

93.2

Foul-0.06 / 2.66

#8 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Curveball

78.3

Ball1.01 / 1.39

#9 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Curveball

78.2

In Play0.23 / 2.31

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.3

Ball-0.93 / 2.07

#11 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

76.7

Ball-1.31 / 2.81

#12 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Sinker

90.6

In Play-0.79 / 2.49

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

90.2

In Play-0.53 / 1.81

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

78.1

Ball-1.28 / 2.32

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

79.0

Ball1.09 / 1.50

#16 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Changeup

86.3

In Play-0.42 / 2.24

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Curveball

77.1

In Play-0.07 / 1.53

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.4

Called Strike-0.36 / 2.37

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Whiff	92.6	-0.65 / 2.59
2	1	0-1	Curveball	In Play	77.3	-0.59 / 2.09
3	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.6	-0.43 / 2.33
4	1	0-1	Sinker	Ball	92.1	1.11 / 2.49
5	1	1-1	Curveball	Foul	77.9	0.44 / 1.68
6	1	1-2	Curveball	Ball	78.9	1.75 / 0.73
7	1	2-2	Sinker	Foul	93.2	-0.06 / 2.66
8	1	2-2	Curveball	Ball	78.3	1.01 / 1.39
9	1	3-2	Curveball	In Play	78.2	0.23 / 2.31
10	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.3	-0.93 / 2.07
11	1	1-0	Curveball	Ball	76.7	-1.31 / 2.81
12	1	2-0	Sinker	In Play	90.6	-0.79 / 2.49
13	1	0-0	Sinker	In Play	90.2	-0.53 / 1.81
14	1	0-0	Curveball	Ball	78.1	-1.28 / 2.32
15	1	1-0	Curveball	Ball	79.0	1.09 / 1.50
16	1	2-0	Changeup	In Play	86.3	-0.42 / 2.24
17	2	0-0	Curveball	In Play	77.1	-0.07 / 1.53
18	2	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.4	-0.36 / 2.37

Velocity trend

83-97 MPH

84.6

Inn 1

84.2

Inn 2

86.2

Inn 3

86.1

Inn 4

87.4

Inn 5

Inning timeline

84 pitches

Inn 1

2 strikes1 whiffs5 in play93.2 max

Inn 2

3 strikes1 whiffs3 in play93.1 max

Inn 3

5 strikes0 whiffs2 in play92.7 max

Inn 4

8 strikes1 whiffs4 in play92.8 max

Inn 5

4 strikes1 whiffs3 in play92.6 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead8 even5 behind4 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead8 even1 behind5 2-strike

Inn 3

1 ahead8 even8 behind4 2-strike

Inn 4

9 ahead11 even5 behind7 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead9 even1 behind4 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

American Family Field at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

+3.6

MIL live standings context: 42-26, +108 run differential.

Opponent offense

+1.2

Live offense context: 5.10 R/G, 0.730 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-6

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

20%

92.3AVG / 93.1 MAX

17 thrown17% whiff

Sinker

26%

91.6AVG / 93.2 MAX

22 thrown0% whiff

Slider

81.9AVG / 82.5 MAX

4 thrown0% whiff

Changeup

11%

85.6AVG / 86.4 MAX

9 thrown0% whiff

Curveball

32%

77.7AVG / 79.0 MAX

27 thrown15% whiff

Cutter

85.3AVG / 86.8 MAX

5 thrown25% whiff