DET at NYY / Yankee Stadium

Casey Mize

7.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 K

Scheduled line estimate / Ranked from scheduled estimate / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Plus / Top 20%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-29

Casey Mize

DET vs NYY / 7.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 71

Plus / Top 20%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 75 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 75

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.5

Ball-1.32 / 3.22

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Slider

85.9

Called Strike-0.03 / 2.93

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

88.3

Ball-0.25 / 1.30

#4 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

93.1

Foul-0.11 / 2.78

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

95.0

Called Strike-0.82 / 2.11

#6 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

86.2

In Play-0.05 / 2.68

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.9

Called Strike-0.85 / 2.91

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

94.2

Whiff-0.28 / 2.85

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-2

4-Seam

94.7

Ball0.26 / 4.07

#10 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Slider

83.2

Ball0.70 / 1.02

#11 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

94.8

Whiff0.66 / 1.98

#12 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.2

Called Strike-0.70 / 2.70

#13 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Changeup

86.5

Ball-1.02 / 1.52

#14 / Inn 2 / 1-1

Slider

85.4

Called Strike-0.89 / 1.59

#15 / Inn 2 / 1-2

Changeup

88.6

Whiff-1.53 / 2.09

#16 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.9

Ball-1.04 / 1.63

#17 / Inn 2 / 1-0

4-Seam

92.7

Called Strike-0.76 / 3.06

#18 / Inn 2 / 1-1

Slider

86.2

In Play0.04 / 1.53

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.5	-1.32 / 3.22
2	1	1-0	Slider	Called Strike	85.9	-0.03 / 2.93
3	1	1-1	Changeup	Ball	88.3	-0.25 / 1.30
4	1	2-1	4-Seam	Foul	93.1	-0.11 / 2.78
5	1	2-2	4-Seam	Called Strike	95.0	-0.82 / 2.11
6	1	0-0	Slider	In Play	86.2	-0.05 / 2.68
7	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.9	-0.85 / 2.91
8	1	0-1	4-Seam	Whiff	94.2	-0.28 / 2.85
9	1	0-2	4-Seam	Ball	94.7	0.26 / 4.07
10	1	1-2	Slider	Ball	83.2	0.70 / 1.02
11	1	2-2	4-Seam	Whiff	94.8	0.66 / 1.98
12	2	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.2	-0.70 / 2.70
13	2	0-1	Changeup	Ball	86.5	-1.02 / 1.52
14	2	1-1	Slider	Called Strike	85.4	-0.89 / 1.59
15	2	1-2	Changeup	Whiff	88.6	-1.53 / 2.09
16	2	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.9	-1.04 / 1.63
17	2	1-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.7	-0.76 / 3.06
18	2	1-1	Slider	In Play	86.2	0.04 / 1.53

Velocity trend

87-97 MPH

90.9

Inn 1

89.3

Inn 2

90.9

Inn 3

88.6

Inn 4

90.8

Inn 5

89.5

Inn 6

Inning timeline

75 pitches

Inn 1

5 strikes2 whiffs1 in play95.0 max

Inn 2

6 strikes1 whiffs2 in play93.8 max

Inn 3

2 strikes1 whiffs3 in play95.0 max

Inn 4

7 strikes1 whiffs2 in play94.2 max

Inn 5

2 strikes1 whiffs3 in play95.0 max

Inn 6

6 strikes4 whiffs0 in play94.8 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead6 even2 behind4 2-strike

Inn 2

5 ahead6 even1 behind4 2-strike

Inn 3

5 ahead4 even1 behind3 2-strike

Inn 4

7 ahead7 even2 behind8 2-strike

Inn 5

0 ahead7 even5 behind4 2-strike

Inn 6

5 ahead7 even2 behind5 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Plus

60-69 / Top 20%

Clearly above-average start with ranking impact.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+21

7.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+17.6

8 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

0 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+0.9

+2.7 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

-0.2

-0.1 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

-0.4

Yankee Stadium at 1.03 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2.6

NYY live standings context: 48-35, +101 run differential.

Opponent offense

+1.2

Live offense context: 4.87 R/G, 0.746 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-6

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

44%

93.3AVG / 95.0 MAX

33 thrown33% whiff

Sinker

92.1AVG / 94.8 MAX

7 thrown17% whiff

Slider

29%

85.2AVG / 89.0 MAX

22 thrown13% whiff

Changeup

17%

88.0AVG / 89.7 MAX

13 thrown67% whiff