Toe the Slab

Upcoming Starting Matchups

This week's probable slates grouped by date. Each game is ranked once, by watchability, with both starters shown head-to-head.

Week's must-watch: STL @ KC / Jun 21 / #1 week pick
Filters / Pregame only / Watch rank / PIT

Jun 20

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

PIT @ COL

PregameCoors Field

Park 1.1669F / 8 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 20

PITaway

Paul Skenes

Form 52.0 · 4.22 ERA

→Steady +1.8
6d rest103 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 50.75.1 IP6.9 K2.6 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.677 OPS26.4% KOPS rank 22nd
Proj K 6.9prop pendingTeam total pending

Paul Skenes recent form GS+: 32, 59, 55, 55, 59

The hook

49.6

score

Top watch score in this group

PITForm clashCOL

Paul Skenes recent form GS+: 32, 59, 55, 55, 59

Tomoyuki Sugano recent form GS+: 47, 44, 47, 38, 26

COLhome

Tomoyuki Sugano

Form 40.4 · 5.17 ERA

→Steady +0.7
6d rest93 pitch avg
K-rate ↓
Proj GS+ 39.15.1 IP2.8 K3.1 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.766 OPS22.5% KOPS rank 2nd
Proj K 2.8prop pendingTeam total pending

Tomoyuki Sugano recent form GS+: 47, 44, 47, 38, 26

Top arm

52.0

Pairing

46.2

Jun 21

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

PIT @ COL

PregameCoors Field

Park 1.1680F / 25 mph wind / 32% rain

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 21

PITaway

Jared Jones

Form 41.5 · 6.23 ERA

→Steady +0.0
Small sample6d rest75 pitch avg
Short outings
Proj GS+ 39.54.1 IP4.2 K3.2 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.753 OPS22.1% KOPS rank 5th
Proj K 4.2prop pendingTeam total pending

Jared Jones recent form GS+: 34, 55, 48, 29

The hook

41.1

score

Top watch score in this group

PITForm clashCOL

Jared Jones recent form GS+: 34, 55, 48, 29

Michael Lorenzen recent form GS+: 33, 33, 20, 57, 51

COLhome

Michael Lorenzen

Form 38.8 · 8.10 ERA

→Steady +2.1
6d rest84 pitch avg
Short outings
Proj GS+ 36.84.1 IP4.5 K4.1 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.766 OPS22.5% KOPS rank 2nd
Proj K 4.5prop pendingTeam total pending

Michael Lorenzen recent form GS+: 33, 33, 20, 57, 51

Top arm

41.5

Pairing

40.2

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 22

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 23

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

SEA @ PIT

PregamePNC Park

Park 0.9863F / 1 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 23

SEAaway

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.6

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PIThome

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

45.8

Pairing

45.8

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 24

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

SEA @ PIT

PregamePNC Park

Park 0.9862F / 4 mph wind / 17% rain

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 24

SEAaway

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.6

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PIThome

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

45.8

Pairing

45.8

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 25

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

SEA @ PIT

PregamePNC Park

Park 0.9868F / 7 mph wind / 30% rain

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 25

SEAaway

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.6

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PIThome

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

45.8

Pairing

45.8

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 26

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CIN @ PIT

PregamePNC Park

Park 0.9863F / 1 mph wind / 18% rain

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 26

CINaway

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.6

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PIThome

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

45.8

Pairing

45.8

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.