Toe the Slab

Upcoming Starting Matchups

This week's probable slates grouped by date. Each game is ranked once, by watchability, with both starters shown head-to-head.

Week's must-watch: NYM @ PHI / Jun 18 / #1 week pick
Filters / All statuses / Watch rank / All teams

Jun 12

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 13

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 14

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 15

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 16

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 17

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 18

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYM @ PHI

PregameCitizens Bank Park

Park 1.0178F / 11 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 18

NYMaway

Sean Manaea

Limited form sample

Last: vs ATL6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 KGS+ 58

Proj GS+ 57.76.0 IP6.0 K2.1 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.691 OPS23.4% KOPS rank 24th
Proj K 6.0prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

54.4

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PHIhome

Aaron Nola

Form 43.8 · 6.91 ERA

→Steady +3.5
5d rest87 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 43.55.0 IP4.7 K3.9 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.666 OPS22.0% KOPS rank 26th
Proj K 4.7prop pendingTeam total pending

Aaron Nola recent form GS+: 38, 55, 57, 29, 40

Top arm

58.0

Pairing

50.9

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

#2

Must-watch

STL @ KC

PregameKauffman Stadium#2 of 9 watch rank

Park 1.0068F / 4 mph wind

5th matchup

Top arm

54.4

Pairing

49.6

Matthew Liberatore

STL

Form 44.8 · 5.32 ERA

→Steady +0.0
5d rest83 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 45.04.2 IP5.5 K2.4 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.709 OPS21.6% KOPS rank 20th
Proj K 5.5prop pendingTeam total pending

Matthew Liberatore recent form GS+: 44, 48, 57, 39, 36

Noah Cameron

KC

Form 54.4 · 2.62 ERA

→Steady +1.4
5d rest93 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 54.65.2 IP4.9 K1.5 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.712 OPS16.6% KOPS rank 14th
Proj K 4.9prop pendingTeam total pending

Noah Cameron recent form GS+: 60, 49, 66, 63, 34

#3

Must-watch

BAL @ SEA

PregameT-Mobile Park#3 of 9 watch rank

Park 0.95Indoor

Matchup pending

Top arm

51.8

Pairing

49.6

Shane Baz

BAL

Form 51.8 · 2.39 ERA

→Steady +1.3
6d rest94 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 52.26.0 IP4.6 K1.5 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 4.6prop pendingTeam total pending

Shane Baz recent form GS+: 54, 60, 55, 49, 41

Bryan Woo

SEA

Form 47.4 · 4.97 ERA

→Steady +0.0
7d rest88 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 47.05.2 IP5.7 K2.8 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 5.7prop pendingTeam total pending

Bryan Woo recent form GS+: 63, 35, 69, 42, 28

Opponent split context pending.

#4

Worth it

LAA @ ATH

PregameSutter Health Park#4 of 9 watch rank

Park 1.0061F / 10 mph wind

2nd matchup

Top arm

48.5

Pairing

47.2

TBD

LAA

TBD

Gage Jump

ATH

Form 48.5 · 3.09 ERA

→Steady +0.0
Small sample6d rest86 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 48.76.0 IP4.9 K2.0 ERlow confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.711 OPS24.7% KOPS rank 15th
Proj K 4.9prop pendingTeam total pending

Gage Jump recent form GS+: 36, 57, 55, 46

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

#5

Worth it

CWS @ NYY

PregameYankee Stadium#5 of 9 watch rank

Park 1.0379F / 9 mph wind

8th matchup

Top arm

45.8

Pairing

43.6

Bryan Hudson

CWS

Limited

Ryan Weathers

NYY

Form 41.4 · 6.44 ERA

→Steady +0.0
6d rest93 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 40.86.0 IP5.5 K4.4 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.723 OPS24.0% KOPS rank 15th
Proj K 5.5prop pendingTeam total pending

Ryan Weathers recent form GS+: 39, 57, 47, 38, 26

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

#6

Worth it

MIN @ TEX

LiveGlobe Life Field#6 of 9 watch rank

Park 1.00Indoor

1st matchup

Top arm

55.0

Pairing

48.1

Joe Ryan

MIN

Form 55.0 · 2.87 ERA

→Steady -0.5
6d rest100 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 55.06.1 IP7.6 K1.9 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.709 OPS25.6% KOPS rank 16th
Proj K 7.6prop pendingTeam total pending

Joe Ryan recent form GS+: 65, 60, 46, 53, 51

Jack Leiter

TEX

Form 41.2 · 4.86 ERA

→Steady -3.0
6d rest95 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 41.25.1 IP4.6 K2.8 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.695 OPS21.9% KOPS rank 19th
Proj K 4.6prop pendingTeam total pending

Jack Leiter recent form GS+: 38, 41, 64, 28, 35

#7

Worth it

CLE @ MIL

LiveAmerican Family Field#7 of 9 watch rank

Park 1.00Forecast unavailable

7th matchup

Top arm

48.0

Pairing

46.9

Parker Messick

CLE

Form 48.0 · 3.33 ERA

→Steady +0.0
8d rest90 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 47.25.1 IP4.5 K1.9 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.755 OPS20.4% KOPS rank 4th
Proj K 4.5prop pendingTeam total pending

Parker Messick recent form GS+: 47, 59, 49, 45, 40

Shane Drohan

MIL

Form 45.7 · 5.28 ERA

→Steady +0.0
Small sample5d rest76 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 45.75.0 IP5.2 K2.9 ERlow confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.699 OPS21.0% KOPS rank 17th
Proj K 5.2prop pendingTeam total pending

Shane Drohan recent form GS+: 47, 45, 45

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

#8

Worth it

TOR @ BOS

LiveFenway Park#8 of 9 watch rank

Park 1.0578F / 13 mph wind / 39% rain

4th matchup

Top arm

47.4

Pairing

46.2

Trey Yesavage

TOR

Form 45.0 · 4.98 ERA

→Steady -1.2
6d rest91 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 44.45.2 IP4.9 K3.0 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.680 OPS22.2% KOPS rank 25th
Proj K 4.9prop pendingTeam total pending

Trey Yesavage recent form GS+: 67, 42, 48, 35, 33

Sonny Gray

BOS

Form 47.4 · 3.06 ERA

→Steady -1.9
0d rest85 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 44.36.0 IP5.8 K2.1 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 5.8prop pendingTeam total pending

Sonny Gray recent form GS+: 39, 55, 41, 57, 45