Toe the Slab

Upcoming Starting Matchups

This week's probable slates grouped by date. Each game is ranked once, by watchability, with both starters shown head-to-head.

Week's must-watch: MIL @ ATL / Jun 19 / #1 week pick
Filters / Pregame only / Watch rank / NYM

Jun 16

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 17

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 18

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYM @ PHI

PregameCitizens Bank Park

Park 1.0177F / 12 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 18

NYMaway

Sean Manaea

Limited form sample

Last: vs ATL6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 KGS+ 58

Proj GS+ 57.66.0 IP6.0 K2.1 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.691 OPS23.4% KOPS rank 24th
Proj K 6.0prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

54.4

score

Top watch score on the slate

Form clash pending

PHIhome

Aaron Nola

Form 43.8 · 6.91 ERA

→Steady +3.5
5d rest87 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 43.45.0 IP4.7 K3.9 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.666 OPS22.0% KOPS rank 26th
Proj K 4.7prop pendingTeam total pending

Aaron Nola recent form GS+: 38, 55, 57, 29, 40

Top arm

58.0

Pairing

50.9

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 19

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 20

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYM @ PHI

PregameCitizens Bank Park

Park 1.0173F / 5 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 20

NYMaway

Freddy Peralta

Form 44.0 · 5.08 ERA

→Steady +0.0
6d rest98 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 44.05.2 IP4.8 K2.9 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.691 OPS23.4% KOPS rank 24th
Proj K 4.8prop pendingTeam total pending

Freddy Peralta recent form GS+: 47, 37, 52, 34, 50

The hook

54.7

score

Best matchup on the board

NYMForm clashPHI

Freddy Peralta recent form GS+: 47, 37, 52, 34, 50

Cristopher Sánchez recent form GS+: 63, 67, 62, 60, 36

PHIhome

Cristopher Sánchez

Form 57.6 · 1.44 ERA

→Steady -2.9
6d rest97 pitch avg
Going deeper
Proj GS+ 57.67.0 IP7.9 K1.1 ERhigh confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.675 OPS22.3% KOPS rank 23rd
Proj K 7.9prop pendingTeam total pending

Cristopher Sánchez recent form GS+: 63, 67, 62, 60, 36

Top arm

57.6

Pairing

50.8

Jun 21

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYM @ PHI

PregameCitizens Bank Park

Park 1.0173F / 5 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 21

NYMaway

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

55.0

score

Top watch score on the slate

Form clash pending

PHIhome

Zack Wheeler

Form 56.4 · 1.66 ERA

→Steady -1.4
6d rest97 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 56.46.1 IP6.4 K1.1 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.675 OPS22.3% KOPS rank 23rd
Proj K 6.4prop pendingTeam total pending

Zack Wheeler recent form GS+: 61, 43, 60, 54, 64

Top arm

56.4

Pairing

51.2

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 22

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through MLB Stats APIBaseball SavantOpen-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CHC @ NYM

PregameCiti Field

Park 0.9763F / 6 mph wind / 66% rain

Top watch score

#1 on Jun 22

CHCaway

TBD

Starter TBDleague baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K --prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

45.3

score

Top watch score on the slate

Form clash pending

NYMhome

Kodai Senga

Limited form sample

Last: vs CIN4.0 IP, 2 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 5 KGS+ 36

Proj GS+ 36.74.0 IP5.0 K3.8 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.722 OPS21.1% KOPS rank 17th
Proj K 5.0prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

45.9

Pairing

41.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.